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Arizona State vs. Utah Odds, Line, and Spread: Week 7 College Football Predictions from a Trusted Model for 2024

A Clash of Former Rivals: Arizona State vs. Utah in the Big 12

As the college football season heats up, fans are gearing up for an exciting matchup this Friday night. The Arizona State Sun Devils will host the Utah Utes in a game that promises to be a thrilling contest between two former Pac-12 rivals now competing in the Big 12. Both teams enter the game with a solid 4-1 record, but their paths to this point have been quite different.

Recent Performances

Arizona State is riding high after a hard-fought victory over Kansas, marking their first-ever win in the Big 12. The Sun Devils showcased their offensive prowess, with quarterback Sam Leavitt throwing for four touchdowns in a nail-biting 35-31 win. Running back Cameron Skattebo has also been a standout, rushing for 182 yards and a touchdown, continuing his impressive form with a total of 378 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns over the last two games. This offensive momentum will be crucial as they face a formidable Utah defense.

On the other hand, Utah is looking to bounce back after a disappointing loss to Arizona. Despite this setback, the Utes remain ranked No. 16 in the AP Top 25 and are eager to prove their worth in the conference. With a bye week to regroup, they are expected to have starting quarterback Cam Rising back in the lineup. Rising’s return could be a game-changer, as he has been one of the most productive quarterbacks in college football when healthy.

Historical Context

The rivalry between Arizona State and Utah has been marked by Utah’s recent dominance. The Utes have won and covered the spread in each of the last four matchups between these two programs. However, Utah’s recent struggles against the spread—going 2-6 in their last eight games—could give Arizona State fans hope. The Sun Devils have been more consistent, winning and covering in four of their last five games, making this matchup even more intriguing.

Game Day Details

Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET at Mountain America Stadium, where Arizona State has been impressive, boasting a perfect 3-0 record at home this season. The Utes are currently favored by 6 points, a slight increase from the opening line, with an over/under set at 46.5 points. This line reflects the expectations for a competitive game, with both teams capable of putting points on the board.

Why Arizona State Can Cover

Arizona State’s recent success can be attributed to their dynamic offense, led by Leavitt and Skattebo. The Sun Devils have shown they can control the line of scrimmage, a crucial factor against a Utah defense that allowed 161 rushing yards in their last outing. If Skattebo can continue his strong performance, Arizona State could exploit any weaknesses in the Utes’ run defense.

Moreover, the Sun Devils are riding a wave of confidence after their recent victory, which could translate into a strong performance on their home turf. With the crowd behind them and a chance to make a statement in the Big 12, Arizona State will be motivated to prove they belong among the conference’s elite.

Why Utah Can Cover

Despite their recent loss, Utah’s defense remains one of the best in the nation, allowing only 15.0 points per game, ranking 15th overall. Their ability to stifle opposing offenses will be critical as they face a potent Arizona State attack. Defensive end Van Fillinger has been a standout player, leading the team in tackles for loss and sacks, and his performance will be pivotal in disrupting the Sun Devils’ offensive rhythm.

The return of Cam Rising is another significant factor for Utah. His experience and playmaking ability can elevate the Utes’ offense, providing them with the spark they need to regain momentum. If Rising can find his rhythm early in the game, Utah’s chances of covering the spread will increase significantly.

Betting Insights

For those looking to place bets, the current odds show Utah favored by 6 points, with an over/under of 46.5 points. The advanced computer model at SportsLine has simulated the game 10,000 times, leaning towards the over and generating a point-spread pick that has hit in over 60% of simulations. This data-driven approach can provide valuable insights for bettors looking to make informed decisions.

As the game approaches, fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see how these two teams, with their rich history and contrasting styles, will clash on the field. Whether you’re rooting for the Sun Devils or the Utes, this matchup promises to deliver excitement and drama as both teams vie for supremacy in the Big 12.

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