Looking for Help in Betting the Remaining 15 Games in Week 8 of the 2024-25 NFL Season?
Week 8 of the 2024-25 NFL season is shaping up to be an exhilarating one, with no teams on bye this week and a full slate of 15 games scheduled for Sunday and Monday. If you’re looking for some guidance on how to navigate the betting landscape for the remaining matchups, you’re in the right place. I’ve teamed up with my SBD formula to predict four potential upsets this week, and I’m excited to share our insights with you.
Week 8 NFL Picks Overview
As always, my NFL picks focus on underdogs that I believe not only will cover their spreads but also have a solid chance of winning outright. This week, I’m highlighting moneyline bets with enticing plus-odds. Last week, I went 1-0 on my upset picks, netting a profit of 1.08 units, while my SBD formula performed admirably with a 2-1 record, yielding 1.18 units. If you had followed both of our picks, you would have walked away with a total profit of 2.26 units. However, if you waited until closer to kickoff for the Jets pick, you still could have enjoyed a respectable profit of 1.43 units.
Expert NFL Moneyline Picks
Here’s a breakdown of the picks for Week 8:
- Cardinals over Dolphins (+178 at Caesars)
- Buccaneers over Falcons (+125 at bet365)
- Eagles over Bengals (+130 at ESPN Bet)
- Commanders over Bears (+140 at BetMGM)
For the second consecutive week, I’m only backing one upset pick, which aligns with my SBD formula’s predictions. The formula has identified three additional upsets, bringing its total to four for the week.
Analyzing the Picks
Cardinals over Dolphins
My primary upset pick this week is the Cardinals defeating the Dolphins. This selection is less about championing the Cardinals and more about fading the Dolphins. Arizona surprised many with their victory over the Chargers last week, but I remain skeptical about their overall trajectory. I believe they will continue to perform at an average level, which may just be enough to secure a win against Miami.
The Dolphins are facing significant challenges, particularly with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa returning after missing 4.5 games. It’s hard to imagine he’ll be sharp after such a long layoff, and the Dolphins’ performance in the limited time he played this season raises further concerns. They barely edged out a struggling Jaguars team in Week 1 and were down significantly against the Bills before Tua’s injury in Week 2. This lack of rhythm and chemistry could hinder their offensive effectiveness against a Cardinals team that, while not elite, is capable of capitalizing on mistakes.
Buccaneers over Falcons
The Buccaneers are another intriguing pick this week. They’ve shown flashes of brilliance this season, and their ability to exploit the Falcons’ weaknesses could lead to an upset. With a solid offensive line and a veteran quarterback in Baker Mayfield, the Bucs have the tools to challenge Atlanta’s defense.
Eagles over Bengals
The Eagles are poised to take down the Bengals, who have struggled to find their footing this season. Philadelphia’s balanced attack and strong defense should give them the edge in this matchup. The Bengals have been inconsistent, and the Eagles will look to capitalize on any mistakes.
Commanders over Bears
Lastly, the Commanders are set to face the Bears, and my SBD formula sees value in this pick. The Commanders have shown resilience, and if they can maintain their momentum, they could secure a victory against a Bears team that has been plagued by inconsistency.
Understanding the Betting Landscape
The odds provided for each pick reflect the best available at the time of writing. Before placing your bets, it’s crucial to check for the most favorable prices using our NFL odds page. For those hoping to see moneyline picks for all 16 games, my SBD formula suggests that the favorites will win in the 12 games not listed above. The four upsets predicted all have margins of victory of 3.8 points or less, indicating that these matchups could be tightly contested.
Final Thoughts on the Cardinals Pick
Focusing back on the Cardinals versus Dolphins matchup, my skepticism about Miami’s defense is rooted in their schedule thus far. While they rank well statistically, their opponents have largely been low-performing offenses. I expect Kyler Murray to exploit any weaknesses in the Dolphins’ defense, leading to a potential upset.
With all this in mind, Week 8 promises to be an exciting one for NFL fans and bettors alike. Whether you’re tailing my picks or doing your own research, I wish you the best of luck as you navigate the betting landscape this week!