NFL Parlay Picks for Week 7: A Deep Dive into Longshot and Higher-Probability Bets

As we gear up for Week 7 of the NFL season, the excitement is palpable. With 14 games on the slate across Sunday and Monday, bettors are presented with a plethora of options for crafting their parlay bets. This week, I’m back with two distinct NFL parlays: a longshot parlay boasting odds of 117-1 and a higher-probability parlay at +146 odds. Let’s break down the legs of each parlay and the reasoning behind my selections.

The Longshot NFL Parlay

Parlay Legs and Odds

I crafted this parlay using various sports betting platforms, with DraftKings offering the best odds. A $5 bet on this five-leg longshot could yield a profit of $590.38, making it an enticing option for those willing to take a risk.

Analysis of Each Leg

1. Demario Douglas 60+ Receiving Yards (+155): In his first game with rookie quarterback Drake Maye, Douglas shone brightly, racking up 92 receiving yards and a touchdown on nine targets. The New England Patriots are likely to continue finding creative ways to get him the ball, especially against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that has struggled against the pass, allowing the most passing yards in the league.

2. Tyreek Hill 70+ Receiving Yards (+145): After a rocky start with Tyler Huntley, Hill bounced back with a solid performance, catching six passes for 69 yards. With the Miami Dolphins coming off a bye week, I expect their offensive scheme to capitalize on Hill’s explosive abilities against a Colts defense that ranks poorly in net yards allowed per pass attempt.

3. Joe Mixon Anytime Touchdown (-110): Mixon has been a reliable red-zone option for the Cincinnati Bengals. When healthy, he consistently finds the end zone, making him a strong candidate for an anytime touchdown against a Houston defense that has struggled to contain opposing running backs.

4. Chuba Hubbard 90+ Rushing Yards (+230): Hubbard has been on a tear, averaging over 100 rushing yards per game in the last four outings. Even in games where the Carolina Panthers have fallen behind, he has managed to rack up significant yardage. Facing a Washington defense that ranks 29th in yards allowed per rush attempt, I believe he can easily surpass the 90-yard mark.

5. Chargers -6.5 (+200): The Los Angeles Chargers are poised to cover this spread against a struggling opponent. With their high-powered offense and a defense that has shown flashes of brilliance, I’m confident they can secure a win by at least a touchdown.

The Higher-Probability NFL Parlay

Parlay Legs and Odds

For this three-leg higher-probability parlay, FanDuel offers the best odds at +146. This parlay is designed for those looking for a safer bet with a solid chance of hitting.

Analysis of Each Leg

1. Aidan O’Connell 200+ Passing Yards (-198): In his first start of the season, O’Connell threw for 227 yards against a tough Steelers defense. As he faces the Rams, who have struggled defensively, I expect him to easily surpass the 200-yard mark, especially with the Raiders likely playing from behind.

2. Commanders -2.5 (-390): The Washington Commanders have shown resilience, even in tough matchups. After a strong performance against the Ravens, I believe they can handle the Panthers, who have the worst defense in the league. Lowering the spread to -2.5 provides a cushion while still maintaining a solid chance of victory.

3. Derrick Henry 60+ Rushing Yards (-330): Henry has been a force on the ground, averaging 117.3 rushing yards per game. With a favorable matchup against a Buccaneers defense that allows 4.7 yards per carry, I see no reason why he wouldn’t eclipse the 60-yard mark with ease.

Conclusion

With a mix of high-risk, high-reward options in the longshot parlay and safer bets in the higher-probability parlay, Week 7 offers a thrilling opportunity for NFL bettors. Whether you’re looking to take a chance on some long odds or prefer a more conservative approach, there’s something for everyone this week. As always, remember to gamble responsibly and enjoy the games!