The NFL is Back: Week 4 Player Props to Bet on September 29th, 2024
It’s hard to believe we’re already at Week 4 of the NFL season, but here we are. The excitement is palpable as teams continue to battle it out on the gridiron. The NFL season moves fast, and it waits for no one. For fans and bettors alike, the key to success is staying informed about player performances, injuries, and matchups. This week, we have a monster slate of games, and the opportunity to capitalize on player props is ripe for the picking.
Understanding the Betting Landscape
As we dive into Week 4, it’s essential to recognize that the sportsbooks are constantly adjusting their lines based on player performances and injury reports. This week, we have two intriguing player props that stand out, primarily due to the books struggling to accurately price player roles. Let’s take a closer look at the matchups and the players who could make a significant impact.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Carolina Panthers
First up, we have the Cincinnati Bengals facing off against the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers have made headlines recently by benching their starting quarterback, Bryce Young, and now face injury issues in their wide receiver corps. This shake-up creates a unique opportunity for bettors to capitalize on player props, particularly for Diontae Johnson.
Diontae Johnson Might Set a Record
Diontae Johnson has been a focal point of the Panthers’ offense, especially with Andy Dalton stepping in as the starting quarterback. Dalton may not be an elite quarterback, but he’s shown a willingness to target Johnson heavily. In fact, last week, Dalton targeted Johnson an astonishing 14 times. With Adam Thielen sidelined, Johnson is poised to see even more opportunities.
Johnson’s current prop for receptions is set at 5.5 (Ov +108 / Un -140). Given the circumstances, it’s reasonable to expect him to catch at least six passes against the Bengals. The game script suggests that the Bengals will likely play from ahead, forcing the Panthers to throw more often. If Dalton continues to lock in on Johnson, he could easily surpass this number.
The Pick: Diontae Johnson Over 5.5 Receptions (+108) – FanDuel
Baltimore Ravens’ Running Back Situation
Next, we turn our attention to the Baltimore Ravens, who have made headlines with their recent acquisition of Derrick Henry. While Henry is a powerhouse, the Ravens also need a versatile back who can contribute in the passing game. Enter Justice Hill.
Don’t Sleep on Justice Hill
Justice Hill has been a bit of an enigma during his five years in the league. Despite not yet rushing for over 1,000 yards in his career, he’s shown flashes of potential, especially this season. The Ravens recently signed Hill to an extension, indicating their confidence in his abilities.
Hill’s prop for receptions is currently set at 2.5 (Ov +140 / Un -185). Given his role as a pass-catching back, this number feels low, especially considering his performance in Week 1 against the Kansas City Chiefs, where he caught six of eight targets. With the Ravens likely to utilize Hill in a similar capacity this week, he should easily surpass the 2.5 receptions mark.
The Pick: Justice Hill Over 2.5 Receptions (+140) – BetMGM
The Importance of Staying Informed
As we gear up for another thrilling Sunday of NFL action, it’s crucial to stay updated on player news and injury reports. The landscape of the league can change rapidly, and being informed gives bettors a significant edge. With the right insights, you can identify opportunities that the sportsbooks may have overlooked.
This week, the matchups are set, and the player props present a fantastic opportunity for savvy bettors. Whether you’re rooting for your favorite team or looking to make some smart wagers, Week 4 promises to deliver excitement and potential profits. Keep an eye on Diontae Johnson and Justice Hill as they look to capitalize on their increased roles in their respective offenses. Happy betting!